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    TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
    NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
    200 AM EDT FRI AUG 22 2014

    For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:

    1. Shower activity associated with the small low pressure area
    moving over the Leeward Islands remains limited and disorganized.
    Interaction of the low with Puerto Rico and Hispaniola will
    likely inhibit significant development through tonight. However,
    environmental conditions are expected to be more conducive for
    development when the disturbance moves near or over the southeastern
    Bahamas on Saturday, and a tropical depression is likely to form
    over the weekend or by early next week. Regardless of tropical
    cyclone formation, gusty winds and heavy rainfall are expected
    across portions of the Leeward Islands, Puerto Rico, and the Virgin
    Islands today, and over Hispaniola and the southeastern Bahamas
    tonight and Saturday. Interests in those islands should monitor the
    progress of this disturbance. An Air Force Reserve Hurricane Hunter
    aircraft is scheduled to investigate this system this afternoon.
    * Formation chance through 48 hours...high...60 percent.
    * Formation chance through 5 days...high...80 percent.

    Forecaster Brown


    Last updated at: 8/22/2014 6:08:53 AM ET
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