Arkansas Senate race: New poll shows Blanche Lincoln has edge over Bill Halter

    9:52 PM, May 7, 2010   |    comments
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    In the recent Mason Dixon poll released by the Arkansas News Bureau and Stephens Media, 625 Arkansans weighed in on which candidate they'd vote for in the primary election.

    The poll found U.S. Senator Blanche Lincoln holds a 12 point lead over Lieutenant Governor Bill Halter and nearly a 34 point margin over D.C. Morrison on the Democratic side.

    For the Republicans, U.S. Representative John Boozman looks to have a promising lead over his opponents, leading all Republican candidates by at least a 31 percent margin.

    Some analysts are even touting this race as one of the most interesting in Arkansas' history.

    "Certainly, I think it's the first time we've seen this competitive of a race on both the Democratic side and the Republican side," says political analyst Rex Nelson.

    Also in the poll was a hypothetical general election between Boozman and Lincoln where 52 percent of all respondents said they'd vote for Boozman if the election were held today. Another factor analysts say is worth watching is the possibility of a run-off in both the Democratic and Republican primaries.

    "There's a third candidate in that race, and if she is under fifty percent it will be another three weeks against Bill Halter and he's been making up ground lately and that could be crucial," says Nelson.

    And on the rRpublican side Jim Holt and Gilbert Baker, Nelson says, create the possibility of a run-off.

    Nelson also says the poll is merely a snapshot in time and of course the real answer will come in less than two weeks in the primary election on May 18. 

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